EUR/USD (daily chart as of August 8, 2013) has been trading
in a narrowing range between two trend lines for about nine months since
November 13, 2012. The possible range breakout would be a significant directional
movement for the pair. On August 2, price once again found support at the daily
EMA 20. Last time was on July 18 with price turning up right from above
the EMA 20. The daily MACD is very bullish with both the MACD line and signal
line turning up to form a bullish crossover, and the daily RSI is rising well
above 50.
As long as the daily EMA 20 can hold, price should
continue the upside momentum.
1st resistance: 1.3415 (June 18 high)
2nd resistance: 1.3520 (Feb 13 high)
3rd resistance: 1.3600 (Feb 5 and Feb 6 high)
In the event of the daily EMA 20 breaking down, price could
test the following supports.
1st support: 1.3240 (multiple lows and highs)
2nd support: 1.3185 (August 2 low)
3rd support: 1.3060 (July 18 low)
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