GBP/USD (daily chart as of November 13, 2013) touched a low
of 1.5853 yesterday, 40 pips below the October 16 low of 1.5893, but managed to
close higher at 1.5903. Today price tentatively traded above the key 1.5955
level, which was the September 24 low and also the last significant low point
within the prior uptrend. It appears that the currency pair is making a
correction to the uptrend, or is in the midst of a potential short-term topping
out.
Price needs to hold the 1.5890-1.5955 support zone, and
break out above the short-term downtrend resistance line (bold red line on
chart, connecting the October 25 high and the November 8 high) for another
possible leg up move to test 1.6260 again. If price breaks down below the support
zone with follow-through price action and is capped by 1.5890/5955, it would
validate a potential double top (1.6260) pattern with the neckline located
around 1.5890.
Support levels below:
1st support: 1.5890 (key support level)
2nd support: 1.5750 (June 17 high)
3rd support: daily EMA 200
Resistance levels above:
1st resistance: short-term downtrend line
2nd resistance: 1.6120 (multiple highs/lows)
3rd resistance: 1.6250/60 (key resistance level)
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