Thursday, October 3, 2013

GBP/USD Reached Upper Edge of Uptrend Channel


GBP/USD (daily chart as of October 3, 2013) tested the upper edge of the uptrend channel (bold green parallel lines on chart) on October 1 and touched a high of 1.6260 with a shooting star candlestick. Current price is also close to the long-term downtrend line (bold red trend line on chart) that extended back to August 2009. Potential strong resistance expected around the intersection of those two major trend lines (red arrow on chart).

Price could turn down to test the lower edge of the uptrend channel, followed by 1.5950 (September 24 low), and potentially 1.5750 (June 17 high) in the event of an uptrend channel break. If price ignores the mentioned strong resistance, it could test 1.6260 again and then 1.6337 (January 2 high). Note that both the RSI and the Stochastic are now in the overbought zones, but it is not necessarily bearish, as during a strong uptrend, those indicators can remain overbought.


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